Data trends of Oregon football
- First Duck Club
- 2 Replies
Notes:
R = Ranking (out of 128), so lower numbers are better in that graph.
Looking at 2007, since Kelly showed up
Offense (Scoring and Total)
Although scoring is around a low points for this time frame, there is likely a huge jump in the scoring rank, as many teams have played some of the sub par early games that pad numbers. Still this could also indicate the evolution of offensive football which was introduced by Oregon.
Similarly total offensive yards aren't at their lowest points, and still what has historically been top 5 looks like top 20 right now. Again, this is likely a combination of half a season of data and to a lesser extent improvement in overall offensive strategies.
One thing is for certain, and that is a fairly consistent downward trend, even if slightly over the past 3 years.
Offense (Rushing and Passing)
When looking at breakdown of offense, 2013 and 2014 show the MM effect, as the passing offense was well above other years (VA 2015 was the only other one over 250 a game). Rushing has bounced around a bit, but based of rank, you can see that other teams are likely improving in rush offense as numbers that had produced top 5 consistently are now top 10/20. Both passing and rushing are down from last season.
Defense (Scoring and Total)
This is where it gets really ugly. As much hate as Allioti got over the years, he at least put pretty consistent scoring numbers, something I'm sure Duck fans would gladly take back right now. I don't think Oregon's defense can be graded on the same metric as others, as when Oregon's offense is clicking, the defense just has to play much more than other defenses experience.
Given that, Allioti shows us what a solid defense probably looks like with Oregon's offense attached. Throw in a struggling defense with the Oregon offense on a very slight downturn, and you see an epic collapse (or explosion, in this case) of numbers. In the worst years of Allioti, Oregon was giving up about 28, the last two years high 30s, low 40s, so a TD and FG to 2 TDs extra a game.
Oregon has actually been outscored this season
Defense (Rushing and Passing)
While Pass D has been definitely struggling the past three years, I think the bigger issue is the ugly trend in Rush D for Oregon over a longer period. Oregon's rush defense has somewhat steadily regressed.
Turnover Margin
What makes teams special? Taking care of the ball and making game changing plays the other way. Oregon has been failing at this part of the game this year, more so than any other year in this time frame. For the first time Oregon is at a negative turnover ratio. The last two years have seen numbers unseen during Kelly's HC years.
R = Ranking (out of 128), so lower numbers are better in that graph.
Looking at 2007, since Kelly showed up
Offense (Scoring and Total)
Although scoring is around a low points for this time frame, there is likely a huge jump in the scoring rank, as many teams have played some of the sub par early games that pad numbers. Still this could also indicate the evolution of offensive football which was introduced by Oregon.
Similarly total offensive yards aren't at their lowest points, and still what has historically been top 5 looks like top 20 right now. Again, this is likely a combination of half a season of data and to a lesser extent improvement in overall offensive strategies.
One thing is for certain, and that is a fairly consistent downward trend, even if slightly over the past 3 years.
Offense (Rushing and Passing)
When looking at breakdown of offense, 2013 and 2014 show the MM effect, as the passing offense was well above other years (VA 2015 was the only other one over 250 a game). Rushing has bounced around a bit, but based of rank, you can see that other teams are likely improving in rush offense as numbers that had produced top 5 consistently are now top 10/20. Both passing and rushing are down from last season.
Defense (Scoring and Total)
This is where it gets really ugly. As much hate as Allioti got over the years, he at least put pretty consistent scoring numbers, something I'm sure Duck fans would gladly take back right now. I don't think Oregon's defense can be graded on the same metric as others, as when Oregon's offense is clicking, the defense just has to play much more than other defenses experience.
Given that, Allioti shows us what a solid defense probably looks like with Oregon's offense attached. Throw in a struggling defense with the Oregon offense on a very slight downturn, and you see an epic collapse (or explosion, in this case) of numbers. In the worst years of Allioti, Oregon was giving up about 28, the last two years high 30s, low 40s, so a TD and FG to 2 TDs extra a game.
Oregon has actually been outscored this season
Defense (Rushing and Passing)
While Pass D has been definitely struggling the past three years, I think the bigger issue is the ugly trend in Rush D for Oregon over a longer period. Oregon's rush defense has somewhat steadily regressed.
Turnover Margin
What makes teams special? Taking care of the ball and making game changing plays the other way. Oregon has been failing at this part of the game this year, more so than any other year in this time frame. For the first time Oregon is at a negative turnover ratio. The last two years have seen numbers unseen during Kelly's HC years.
